Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $23,665$ on 2020-10-16
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $345$ on 2020-10-16
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $4,233$ on 2020-10-16
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $103,200$ on 2020-10-16
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{91,755.0}{1 + 10^{-0.015 (t - 100.4)}}\) (asimptote \(91,755.0\))
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5,918$ on 2020-10-16
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,785.1}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 52.2)}}\) (asimptote \(5,785.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $97,282$ on 2020-10-16
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $16,272$ on 2020-10-16
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{16,328.8}{1 + 10^{-0.006 (t - 107.9)}}\) (asimptote \(16,328.8\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $278$ on 2020-10-16
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{255.7}{1 + 10^{-0.044 (t - 32.0)}}\) (asimptote \(255.7\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $4,131$ on 2020-10-16
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $13,133$ on 2020-10-16
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,673.9}{1 + 10^{-0.017 (t - 61.6)}}\) (asimptote \(8,673.9\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $351$ on 2020-10-16
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{332.7}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 36.6)}}\) (asimptote \(332.7\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,682$ on 2020-10-16
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $34,939$ on 2020-10-16
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $677$ on 2020-10-16
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{619.5}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 35.4)}}\) (asimptote \(619.5\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $5,226$ on 2020-10-16
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,929$ on 2020-10-16
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,078.6}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 32.8)}}\) (asimptote \(2,078.6\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $11$ on 2020-10-16
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.0}{1 + 10^{-0.073 (t - 22.3)}}\) (asimptote \(10.0\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,205$ on 2020-10-16
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $202,151$ on 2020-10-16
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10,359$ on 2020-10-16
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,808.0}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 39.1)}}\) (asimptote \(9,808.0\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $170,925$ on 2020-10-16
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $692,112$ on 2020-10-16
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{729,288.3}{1 + 10^{-0.006 (t - 169.9)}}\) (asimptote \(729,288.3\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $43,519$ on 2020-10-16
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{41,184.3}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 46.0)}}\) (asimptote \(41,184.3\))
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $646,028$ on 2020-10-16
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $391,611$ on 2020-10-16
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{269,036.9}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 50.4)}}\) (asimptote \(269,036.9\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $36,427$ on 2020-10-16
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{35,051.1}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 47.2)}}\) (asimptote \(35,051.1\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $107,312$ on 2020-10-16
